Tag Archives: middle-east

Thoughts on the war on Iran and how Iran may break into several states.

“The believers are but one brotherhood, so make peace between your brothers. And be mindful of Allah so you may be shown mercy.” (Qur’an 49:10)


“The Prophet (saw) said: The people will soon summon one another to attack you as people when eating invite others to share their dish. Someone asked: Will that be because of our small numbers at that time? He replied: No, you will be numerous at that time: but you will be scum and rubbish like that carried down by a torrent, and Allah will take fear of you from the breasts of your enemy and last enervation into your hearts. Someone asked: What is wahn (enervation). Messenger of Allah (saw): He replied: Love of the world and dislike of death.”

Source: https://sunnah.com/abudawud:4297

We take the love of the world to mean all things related to the dunya. Chief among them is nationalism. The most effective divider of people. Raising one’s flag and songs above the brotherhood of Islam.

With the B-52 stratofortress now carpet bombing Iran, it is very clear that the Zionist entity and the Former United States feel confident that they own the skies over Iran. Their objective now is to continue to degrade the Iranian military. Having completely destroyed its navy capabilities and airforce. Iran has an unspecified number of missiles and drones. How long will they last? Every time they launch a volley of missiles, this lights up on radar and allows the Former United States and the Zionist entity to pinpoint their location and neutralize them.

Now our brothers and sisters in Iran and the Iranian people will experience the ‘freedom’ that these regimes present. Because of the successful volley of missiles Iran had managed to land on Zionist-occupied Palestine, this certainly incensed the Zionist leadership. “Burn it all to the ground!” You can imagine them saying to the Former United States. There may even be thought of using tactical nuclear weapons. Allah forbid!

May Allah have mercy on our brothers and sisters in Iran, Palestine, Sudan, Syria, Libya, Yemen, The Congo and all oppressed people all over the world! Amin.

The loss of lives, the destruction of people’s homes. Masjids and museums alike. Achievements in art and architecture. The idea is to destroy anything beautiful the Iranian people and their ancestors worked so hard to build.

It is even quite possible that the Zionists and the Former United States allowed a number of missiles to hit Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain and the U.A.E. as a way to say to them: “Imagine if that had been a nuclear weapon.” It is an excellent way to instill fear and ensure the continued dependence of those nations upon the Former United States and the Zionist entity.

We will present to you a map of Iran. We will take a look at the 31 provinces of Iran. We will be looking at the major ethnic groups and how the former United States and the Zionists will be taking every opportunity to sow division and discord. Unfortunately, we will also have to mention how some Muslim majority states will take advantage of the situation for various reasons.

The first major point is that Iran is the only majority Shi’i nation that is a geopolitical force in the whole region. Once its power is broken, the following is likely to happen. Shi’i geopolitical power is greatly diminished in the entire region.

The Zaydi Houthis will likely be isolated and crushed. Without the support of Iran, this is likely to happen. Hezbollah in Lebannon will likely be isolated and crushed. The centre of gravity for Shi’i Islam will no doubt shift to Iraq. Najaf will rise in importance depending upon what happens to Qom.


Unfortunately, it has to be said that many Sunni Muslims will be relieved by this if they’re not outright in a state of glee. In particular, the people and government of Syria as well as the United Arab Emirates are likely to feel a great deal of relief. Saudi Arabia as well, yet they will watch anxiously as events unfold. If a secular Iran rises that is supported and aided by the former United States and the Zionists, then Saudi Arabia becomes less relevant in the region.

This sets the stage for the coming Sunni civil war (insh’Allah for another article).


The Islamic Republic of Iran is currently comprised of 31 states or provinces. So now we will give a break-down of those provinces and states and see how the former United States and the Zionists may try and break them apart. This is speculation on behalf of our team. You are encouraged to do your own research investigation and conclusions.

The Azeris.

The areas in red are majority Azeri. They are a Turkic ethnic group who are majority Jafari 12er Shi’i. It is likely that Azerbaijan and its allies Turkey and the Zionist State may assist them in taking these territories.

    Translation:

    Representing nearly 30 million Azerbaijani Turks living in Iran, the South Azerbaijan Coordination Platform has addressed an official appeal to President Aliyev of Azerbaijan: ———— Dear Mr. President, As a result of the bombing of civilian infrastructure and residential areas in South Azerbaijan, innocent civilians are losing their lives. Women, children, and families are under serious threat. The humanitarian situation in the region is steadily worsening. At the same time, reports that certain armed Kurdish groups are attempting to move to establish control over Urmia and surrounding areas are deeply concerning. Such attempts place the Azerbaijani population in a multidimensional security threat and increase the risk of ethnic confrontation in the region. Our people do not want to experience another Karabakh tragedy in Urmia. The fate of none of our cities should end with occupation, destruction, or forced displacement. Dear Mr. President, Your international standing and your relations with regional actors, including the State of Israel, provide an important opportunity to influence the current situation through diplomatic means. We believe that, as always, the security of the Azerbaijani people and the protection of national interests remain your highest priority. We respectfully request that you undertake effective and urgent initiatives at the international level to defend our compatriots in South Azerbaijan and to prevent the bombing of the civilian population. Timely action can help prevent a larger catastrophe and the spread of terror in the region. We hope that the Azerbaijani state will stand by its compatriots and take the necessary steps to ensure peace and security. With deep respect, Supreme Council South Azerbaijan Coordination Platform Tabriz – South Azerbaijan

    Hamadan, Qavin and Tehran all have heavy Azeri populations. But they are evenly split with the Persians. So this may depend upon how greedy Azerbaijan and its allies Turkey and the Zionist entity want to be.

    The Kurdish Factor. The areas coloured in lavender are outright majority Kurdish.

    Three provinces have Kurdish populations: llam, Kermanshah and the aptly named Kurdistan.

    Kurdistan itself is a Sunni majority following the Shafi’i school. Whereas Kermanshah is the largest Kurdish-speaking city in Iran. Along with Llam, they are both Shi’i Kurds. The Kurdish resistance is a mixed bag of those who simply want autonomy and recognition of their culture and identity to those who want an independent country. They run the spectrum of left-leaning Marxists to deeply devoted practicing Muslims.

    Khuzestan. The above are coloured in yellow. The majority ethnic groups are Arabs and Lurs. Khuzestan is a place to watch as it has Iran’s largest oil fields and therefore is a prize in any post-Iran breakup.

    This area is key because of the “Ahvaz Sunni Resistance”: The Arab Struggle Movement for the Liberation of Ahwaz (ASMLA).

    The Arab Struggle Movement for the Liberation of Ahwaz (ASMLA) . It is an ethnically Arab, predominantly Sunni separatist group .

    Historical Background and Grievances.

    The roots of the conflict are deep. Before 1925, the region was known as “Arabistan” and enjoyed a degree of autonomy . This ended when Reza Shah Pahlavi brought it under firm central government control, a move many Arabs saw as an “annexation” . The new government also implemented “Persianization” policies, suppressing the Arabic language and local customs.

    Economic Marginalization: Despite Khuzestan producing a huge portion of Iran’s oil wealth (around 80-90% of onshore reserves), the local Arab population suffers from disproportionately high poverty rates, unemployment, and lack of development . The province has poor infrastructure, and the city of Ahvaz has been ranked as one of the most polluted in the world.

    The ASMLA was established in 1999 with the ultimate goal of creating an independent state for Arabs in Khuzestan, which they call “Ahwaz“.

    • Activities: The group has an armed wing, the “Mohiuddin Al Nasser Martyrs Brigade,” and has claimed responsibility for numerous attacks on security forces and oil pipelines over the years

    This Sunni resistance group is most likely armed by Saudi Arabia and other gulf states. Might we see another GCC country in the near future?

    The Lurs. The areas coloured in light blue have a majority Lur ethnic population. Lorestan
    Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari, Kohgiluyeh and Boyer Ahmad, with Boyer Ahmad being the Lur homeland. It is hard to say if they would want their own homeland or would want to remain in Persia proper. No doubt, they figure in the equation when Khuzestan and the oil fields are brought into the equation.

    The Baluchi

    The provinces, coloured in dark orange and khaki brown, represent where they are a majority or a strong second ethnic presence. Sistan and Baluchistan and South Khorasan. The Baluchi are very strong Sunni Muslims. Mostly of the Hanafi school of jurisprudence.

    Where does this get interesting?

    The area that Iran borders with Pakistan is called Balochistan. Where Baluchi are the majority ethnic group. Unless anyone forgot, on the 16th of January 2024, Iran conducted a series of missile strikes in Pakistan. They claimed they were targeting Baloch separatist group Jaish ul-Adi in the Pakistani province of Balochistan. Pakistan in turn targeted the Balochistan Liberation Army and the Balochistan Liberation Front.

    Many say there is a big ideological split between the aims and objectives of Baluchi in Iran and Pakistan. In Iran, because they were a minority, their adherence to Sunnism was a matter of preservation. Maybe it was a blessing in disguise. Whereas the independence aspirations in Pakistan are marked mostly by left-leaning and Marxist ideology.

    Time will tell if Pakistan is headed for troubled waters.

    Gilaks and the Turkomen. Regions are represented by the pink and brown colours. There is no immediate idea on where they land. Do Turkey and Azerbaijan try to carve out a northern corridor of Iran to connect the Turkic nations together? Who knows..

    Persians. Persia proper. The area in the dark blue colour could represent a new Iran or a new Persia proper. South Khorasan may be split between the Persian and Baluchi people. Allah knows best.

    Last satanic play by the Former United Statse and the Zionist entity before the complete break-up of Iran?

    This satanic idea in reality means they would plan to strike the al Aqsa Masjid and then blame Iran!

    Well, there is one play that has been spoken of in the open.

    When all is said and done. Will the Zionist attack the desalination plants in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Oman and then blame Iran?

    Guess who comes to the rescue with water? That’s right! The Zionist entity to further endear the people of the region to them.

    May Allah have abundant mercy upon the Muslims of Iran, Iraq, Syria, Palestine, Lebanon, Turkey, Azerbaijan, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, U.A.E., Oman and Saudi Arabia.

    Iran did what they could.

    Turkey and Saudi Arabia prepare yourselves. You are likely next.

    May Allah Forgive the Ummah.

    May Allah Guide the Ummah.

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    Turkey is home to the 3rd largest Shi’a population in the Middle East.

    “My Lord! Increase me in knowledge.” (Qur’an 20:114)

    ﷽ 

    Most people, when they think of Turkey, do not think of it as a bastion of Shi’ism.

    What makes obtaining numbers difficult in the case of Turkey is that they conduct census based only on religion, not on sects, races or ethnicity because according to the law, only religions are recognized, not sects. Additionally, another law states that everyone living in Turkey is considered a Turk.

    Did you know that the Alevi Shi’a community is estimated to be between as low as 4 million and as high as 20 million of Turkey’s 80 million citizens?!

    In fact, did you know that the bulwark of the Ottoman Military Machine, the famed Janissaries, were not Sunni Muslims?!

    They cursed Muaviya, and they believed in the 14 infallibles, The Blessed Prophet (saw), Fatima (ra) and the 12 imams! They held that Ali was superior to the other companions. They were Shi’i; however not in the traditional sense. They were part of a Sufi order that was strongly influenced by Shi’i ideas and beliefs.

    Bekta-Shism: A Sufi order that originated in Anatolia in the 13th century and named after their Saint: Haji Bektsah Veli.

    Yeniçeriler gelsin!

    Once that Shofar horn is blown, the only thing that awaits the opponent is swift and merciless death.

    We don’t know if it was genius or mischievous of the Ottomans to send people who had heterodox views to be shock troops knowing they would take the brunt of the causalities. In a sense: canon fodder.

    It must have been terrifying for Christian armies to see legions of soldiers basically dressed like Orthodox Christian Bishops coming to kill them! Just an unstoppable juggernaut chanting Allah, Allah, Allah, Allah has they charge forth.

    Genius or diabolical would be a matter of perspective here.

    Psychology is just as much a part of war as the weapons we wield!

    The Daily Sabah says:

    “Alevis, who make up the second-largest religious community in the country with approximately 20 million followers.”

    Source: https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/news-analysis/govt-signals-action-for-turkeys-alevi-community-amid-obstacles


    “The number of Alevis is a matter of contention. Estimates from different sources range considerably – from around 10 percent to as much as 40 percent of the total population – but recent figures suggest Alevis number in the region of 20 to 25 million.”

    Source: https://minorityrights.org/communities/alevis/#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20Alevis%20is,of%2020%20to%2025%20million.

    Not surprising is that Sunni Muslims opposed to Shi’ism altogether would opt for polls or data that suggest that their population is not divided.

    Recently, on X (Twitter), one Turkish Muslim we engaged with on the subject favoured KONDA Research, which suggests a very low 4% of the Turkish population to be Alevi Shi’a.

    “Leaders of the Alevi Foundation estimate Alevi Muslims comprise 25 to 31 percent of the population. KONDA Research and Consultancy estimates the Alevi community at approximately 6 percent of the population, almost 5 million individuals. The Shia Jafari community estimates its members make up 4 percent of the population.”

    Source: https://www.state.gov/reports/2021-report-on-international-religious-freedom/turkey/

    Curious as to why that individual quoted KONDA research, we asked the individual what he thought about Tarhan Erdem’s view that Turkey was responsible for the genocide of Armenians, of which he offered no engagement on the question.

    Turkey is allies with Shi’a Azerbaijan against Christian Armenia and Shi’a Iran.

    Azerbaijan facts:

    Religions:

    Shi’i Muslim 97.3%, Christian 2.6%, other <0.1, unaffiliated <0.1 (2020 est.)

    Source: (https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/azerbaijan/factsheets/)

    Why many Turks unfortunately feel sour about Palestine and Palestinians.

    Why do many Turks unfortunately feel sour about Palestine and Palestinians?

    We have had many religiously observant Turkish Muslim friends express to us that they felt betrayed by Palestine.

    One Turkish brother shared with us a picture from X (Twitter) that says: “I stand with Armenia forever. From Palestine.

    To which he replied: “This is what makes me angry. My people and my nation support them. Going against Israel and having economic problems. And these shameless people support our enemies! Brother, there are Turks who support Israel, but those Turks are not Muslims. But these Palestinians claim to be Muslim and oppressed but still support Armenia and China. I have not seen a single Palestinian or Pan-Arab or supports other Muslims. Those oppressed in Myanmar, China or elsewhere.”

    A Palestinian had said in response to such sentiment:

    “I’m sorry for the Turks. We need to kiss their feet because we lived with Armenians in our neighborhoods when we were kids. And they were good people. I’m so sorry, Brother Turk, you have every right to feel sour and not care about us being subject to genocide. Empires rise and fall. The Turks betrayed the Ottoman Empire way before any Arab did.”

    As you can see, our brothers from Turkey and Palestine equally have valid points. My point to the Turkish brother is that the Palestinians as a whole should not be made to suffer because of the statements or actions of Mahmoud Abbas or those in the past.

    This unfortunately is the sad state of our Muslim Ummah.

    If we had a word of caution for my brothers in Turkey it would be this.

    “Keep your friends close and your enemies closer.”

    This seemingly innocuous Bekta-Shism state being carved out of Albania (with EU approval) might not be as innocent as one thinks.

    https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/11/05/albania-makes-surprise-announcement-of-future-bektashi-state-in-tirana_6731726_4.html

    You may be interested in reading the following:

    An exploration of the many Mahdi claimants (quite a number of them from Turkey).

    May Allah (swt) free Palestine and put Jerusalem firmly in the hands of the Muslims.

    May Allah (swt) aid the Turks in their conflict with Armenia.

    May Allah (swt) bring justice to the Uyghurs Muslims in China.

    May Allah (swt) bring justice to the Rohingya Muslims in Myanmar.

    May Allah (swt) bring peace, justice and stability to Syria.

    May Allah (swt) aid the people of Yemen.

    May Allah (swt) be with the people of Sudan.

    May Allah (swt) be with our brothers in the Horn of Africa, Somalia, Ethiopia, Eritrea.

    May Allah (swt) help the ummah to put love of Islam and Muslims above the love for nations, or tribal affiliations.

    May Allah (swt) aid the Ummah.

    May Allah (swt) forgive the Ummah.

    May Allah (swt) guide the Ummah.

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